March 2025 - Affordable Housing News Update

Hi Everyone, Happy Pi Day! This March, we have some important updates to share regarding affordable housing. Stay tuned for key information and developments

TL;DR

  • Federal: HUD funding is falling short, risking reduced Section 8 vouchers and cuts to homelessness programs. A rollback of fair housing rules eases compliance for local governments but could make it harder to ensure equity.

  • California: State policies expand affordable housing opportunities through zoning reform (SB 423), new financing tools, and stronger tenant protections. Developers can expect faster approvals and new funding sources, but also more affordability requirements and rent caps.

  • Los Angeles: HACLA has paused new Section 8 vouchers due to funding gaps, which may slow leasing. Meanwhile, the city’s new CHIP ordinance allows more housing density in commercial areas. Local rent control updates and Measure ULA funds offer both challenges and new financial support.

U.S. Federal Level

Brief Analysis: The federal funding patch, if enacted, signals a tighter resource environment for affordable housing. For developers, the shortfall in voucher funding means fewer tenants will have rental assistance, which could jeopardize occupancy and rent collections in projects that rely on Section 8 vouchers. Financing new developments may become harder as lenders and investors factor in reduced subsidy availability and potential project revenue gaps. Similarly, underfunding homeless assistance could strain local shelter systems, increasing pressure on affordable and supportive housing projects to serve those displaced by service cuts. On the regulatory side, HUD’s pullback of the AFFH rule reduces compliance burdens on local governments but may also reduce incentives for communities to support equitable affordable housing development. Developers might find less proactive cooperation from jurisdictions on fair housing initiatives (e.g. inclusive zoning or site selection), potentially limiting opportunities in high-opportunity areas. While the deregulation could streamline some approval processes, it places more onus on developers and advocates to ensure projects further fair housing objectives without a strong federal mandate.

California State Level

Brief Analysis: California’s recent policy moves continue to prioritize housing production and tenant stability, creating a mixed bag of opportunities and responsibilities for developers. On the upside, laws like SB 423 significantly streamline the development process – reducing entitlement uncertainty and delays for qualifying projects. This improves project feasibility by saving time and carrying costs, and it opens formerly restricted areas (e.g. coastal and commercially zoned land) for new affordable housing. Developers can leverage these by-right approvals and the increased density allowances to build more units, but must be prepared to meet stricter affordability and labor standards in return. New financing mechanisms (such as regional housing authorities under SB 440) and process tweaks (like AB 2353’s tax deferral) are likewise positive for project economics – they hint at more local funding sources and lower pre-development expenses, which can help close funding gaps. At the same time, the state’s expansion of tenant protections means developers and owners need to plan for tighter rent increase limits and procedural requirements. For instance, rent-regulated affordable projects may see slower revenue growth, requiring careful budgeting for operating costs. Longer eviction timelines and mandated preservation sales may slightly increase compliance costs or limit an owner’s exit strategies, but they also maintain tenant security and the affordable housing stock – outcomes aligned with the industry’s mission. Overall, California’s environment is increasingly pro-housing but also highly regulatory: affordable housing developers should benefit from faster approvals and new funds, even as they navigate robust tenant protection rules and ensure strict compliance with affordability commitments.

Los Angeles City Level

Brief Analysis: At the city level, immediate fiscal and regulatory changes are shaping the landscape for affordable housing developers. HACLA’s voucher freeze is a red flag for project operations and underwriting – developers planning on tenants with Section 8 subsidies (for instance, in new LIHTC buildings or lease-ups) may need contingency plans. Fewer available vouchers could slow the filling of low-income units or reduce the rent developers can count on, thereby squeezing cash flow. Projects in pre-development that were anticipating project-based vouchers or tenant voucher referrals must closely monitor HACLA’s funding situation or seek alternative support (such as local rental assistance or deeper income targeting) to maintain feasibility. On a positive note, Los Angeles’ aggressive rezoning via the CHIP ordinance creates new development opportunities. For developers, this means a much larger pool of viable sites and by-right density bonuses in commercial corridors, which can shorten the approval timeline and lower entitlement risk. Utilizing CHIP can make formerly marginal projects pencil out – the ability to add units in exchange for affordable housing can improve economies of scale. However, developers must also navigate community concerns and the logistics of delivering the required affordable units; careful site selection and community outreach will be important since single-family areas remain off-limits and some neighborhoods may resist increased height even on commercial strips.

The adjustments in rent control and tenant protections in L.A. require developers and owners to adapt their long-term financial expectations and property management practices. The end of the rent freeze provides some relief to landlords of rent-stabilized properties, enabling modest rent increases to help cover rising costs. Yet, the prospect of a stricter 3% cap would further limit revenue growth on those units, which is a consideration for anyone investing in or rehabilitating older multifamily buildings. Affordable housing developers, who often operate within even tighter rent restrictions, mostly see indirect effects: stronger tenant protections citywide mean more stable tenancies (fewer disruptive evictions) but also necessitate compliance (e.g. providing relocation assistance if required). Overall, L.A.’s trend toward robust tenant rights may moderate investor interest in value-add acquisitions of older buildings, but it aligns with the city’s goals of preventing displacement – a factor mission-driven developers incorporate into their models.

Finally, the Measure ULA funds beginning to flow are a significant boon for affordable housing finance in Los Angeles. These local funds – from new construction loans to anti-displacement programs – can fill critical gaps that federal and state programs might leave, especially in light of federal shortfalls. Developers should stay attuned to ULA-backed Notice of Funding Opportunities (NOFAs) and initiatives, as they represent new sources of capital and grants for projects (such as buy-downs for deeper affordability, acquisition of at-risk buildings, or gap financing to make projects viable). While the volume of ULA money is still ramping up (and dependent on luxury real estate trends), its availability improves the outlook for affordable housing project pipelines in the city. In summary, Los Angeles is concurrently grappling with challenges like federal funding cuts and leaning on local policy innovations – the net effect for affordable housing developers is a need to be flexible and proactive. Success will come from adjusting to funding volatility (ensuring projects can sustain tenant subsidies or operate with lower rents if necessary) and capitalizing on pro-housing policies and local funding when they arise. Developers who navigate these changes adeptly can find new opportunities in L.A.’s evolving market – from building more units under the new zoning incentives to preserving and operating housing with the support of strengthened local programs.

Sources: Federal updates from NLIHC (Federal Government at Risk of Partial Shutdown at Midnight Tonight – Take Action! | National Low Income Housing Coalition) (HUD AFFH Rule Revised | February 2025); California updates from CA Legislature, Governor’s office, and Terner Center (Governor Newsom Issues Executive Order Extending Protections for Homeowners and Renters Related to LA Fires | Snell & Wilmer - JDSupra) (Governor Signs Legislation Enacting Significant Amendments to SB 35, Increasing Opportunities for Development of Multi-Family Housing (Part I)) (California Housing Laws That Go into Effect in 2025 - Terner Center) (California Housing Laws That Go into Effect in 2025 - Terner Center); Los Angeles updates from HACLA statements and local news (LA housing authority suspends processing of applications) (Citywide Housing Incentive Program (CHIP) Ordinance - LA Conservancy) (A 2025 Update for L.A. Renters Did you know that L.A. City’s existing rent stabilization rules have allowed annual rent increases to significantly outpace inflation? Back in November, the Los Angeles Housing Department (LAHD) shared a report with the L.A. City Council that recommended capping the maximum allowable rent increase—something we continue to fight for as part of the Keep LA https://www.saje.net/update-for-renters/) (What has Measure ULA Done so Far? — Shelterforce Shelterforce).

Previous
Previous

Measure ULA: Purpose, Funding, and Impact